Andrew Mount’s Horse Racing Tips – Wednesday November 24th – originally posted on Sportslens.com
Leading racing advisor Andrew Mount is a contributor to the Racing Post, Racing Post Weekender, Racing & Football Outlook and the GG.co.uk website. He is also a regular pundit on William Hill Racing Radio. Andrew’s stats and systems have unearthed some interesting punting angles for Wednesday’s racing.
Andrew concentrates on the all-weather action on Wednesday November 24th and has four selections at Dundalk and Kempton:
MULLACASH BUZZ (system – shock Flat winners next time out, all-weather handicaps)
Shock Flat winners (25-1+) still tend to be underrated in the betting market when bidding to follow up in an all-weather handicaps, winning 68 of their 459 starts since 2013 (expected winners = 56.41). Had we only backed those who had one of the three best last-time out speed figures (according to Proform’s ratings) we’d have won 62 of our 282 bets and made a profit of £25.55. Backing only the three-year-olds would have returned a profit of £35.95 (21 winners from 79 bets). MULLACASH BUZZ, a 66-1 Dundalk winner last time out, can prove that was no fluke.
QUEEN’S COMPANY (system – Julia Feilden, ran at Chelmsford LTO)
Trainer Julia Feilden has a poor record at Chelmsford, one of her local tracks, but those that switch to a different all-weather venue next time have returned a profit of £42.25 to a £1 level stake since 2014. QUEEN’S COMPANY has run two eyecatching races to date, keeping on into a 50-1 sixth of 15 at Yarmouth on her debut (6f) before an unlucky-in-running 16-1 fourth of 11 over 7f at Chelmsford. We might not see the best of her until she goes handicapping but she should be suited by this track and is worth a speculative each-way interest.
HEERATTHETRACK (system – dam Jessica Ennis AW runners)
Jessica Ennis, the dam of HEERATTHETRACK, has been responsible for plenty of all-weather winners, especially in handicaps. Backing all her offspring in all-weather handicaps would have found 15 winners from 51 bets for a profit of £56.20. HEERATTHETRACK ran well over trip and track on his handicap debut, finishing third at 8-1, and can reward each-way support again.
COUNTY WICKLOW (system – Marco Botti, break returners in AW handicaps)
Marco Botti has a solid record in all-weather handicaps, scoring with 106 of his 750 runners since the spring of 2016. We’d have lost money by backing them blind, though we’d have increased our bank by about 10% had we taken the best early offer the evening before racing. We can turn this into a profitable system by only backing then three and four-year-olds who were running fresh (after a break of at last 40 days). This angle has thrown up 39 winners from 187 bets (20.9% strike-rate) for a profit of £121.16 to a £1 level stake at SP. Both previous qualifiers this month have won (10-1 and 11-8) and COUNTY WICKLOW, gelded since disappointing at Chelmsford on September 30th, might be capable of breaking his duck tonight.
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